Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 60.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 58.5% vs Dowd 50.7% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 79.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 51.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.5%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Carter
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Carter
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Carter
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (727)
55.2% (625)
+4.5%
Power Play
68.1% (72)
57.1% (7)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (139)
38.2% (220)
+15.0%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Carter is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Carter shoots right. Dowd is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Carter
Dowd
Home
58.7% (455)
53.7% (445)
Away
60.0% (483)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Carter
Dowd
P1
61.3%
48.8%
P2
57.1%
49.3%
P3
59.8%
54.0%
OT
57.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
60.2%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 05:44 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 1 | 01:35 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |