Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Dowd 48.3% (+14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 95.3%
Defensive zone
Carter 68.2%
Neutral zone
Carter 77.8%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Carter
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Carter
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
49.2% (778)
+16.4%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
58.3% (12)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
44.0% (234)
+6.5%
On even strength, Carter has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Carter is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Carter shoots right. Dowd is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Carter
Dowd
Home
64.3% (207)
46.3% (492)
Away
60.8% (217)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Carter
Dowd
P1
65.3%
49.1%
P2
60.1%
48.2%
P3
63.8%
46.9%
OT
40.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
65.3%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 19:53 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 01:49 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |