Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 63.9% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Sturm 59.0% (+2.4%)
Offensive zone
Sturm 56.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 50.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 50.6%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Carter
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
60.6% (708)
+5.0%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
61.1% (18)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
56.4% (101)
-5.9%
On power play, Carter has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Carter shoots right. Sturm is 67.8% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Carter
Sturm
Home
64.3% (207)
61.6% (451)
Away
60.8% (217)
58.2% (376)
By Period
Carter
Sturm
P1
65.3%
55.9%
P2
60.1%
58.9%
P3
63.8%
64.6%
OT
40.0%
70.6%
Final 5 min
65.3%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%