Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Carter wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Bennett 47.2% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 69.6%
Defensive zone
Carter 78.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 53.4%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Carter
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Carter
Bennett
Last 10: Carter 5-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
2
4
Carter
Bennett
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Bennett
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
45.5% (756)
+12.4%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
63.0% (92)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
31.0% (29)
+14.4%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Carter shoots right. Bennett is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Carter
Bennett
Home
58.2% (543)
46.5% (456)
Away
55.9% (594)
47.3% (421)
By Period
Carter
Bennett
P1
57.5%
46.6%
P2
57.1%
50.5%
P3
55.8%
43.5%
OT
68.2%
44.4%
Final 5 min
57.0%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 18:35 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 03:39 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 18:27 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 18:14 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 18:11 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 14:27 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 09:46 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 09:34 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |