Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +17.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 63.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Bennett 45.9% (+17.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 51.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 92.0%
Neutral zone
Carter 86.1%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 81.7%
81.7%
18.3%
Carter
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Carter
Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Carter
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
44.7% (772)
+20.9%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
56.9% (58)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
42.9% (28)
+7.6%
On even strength, Carter has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Carter shoots right. Bennett is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Carter
Bennett
Home
64.3% (207)
48.5% (447)
Away
60.8% (217)
42.1% (411)
By Period
Carter
Bennett
P1
65.3%
47.1%
P2
60.1%
45.8%
P3
63.8%
42.9%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
65.3%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2024 | 1 | 13:58 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 2 | 11:33 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 2 | 00:23 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 1 | 16:17 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |