Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 58.5% vs Bennett 47.3% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 62.6%
Defensive zone
Carter 92.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 79.1%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 80.9%
80.9%
19.1%
Carter
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Carter
Bennett
Last 6: Carter 4-2 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
2
Carter
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (727)
48.2% (766)
+11.5%
Power Play
68.1% (72)
45.1% (82)
+23.0%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (139)
33.9% (56)
+19.3%
On power play, Carter has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Carter shoots right. Bennett is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Home / Away
Carter
Bennett
Home
58.7% (455)
49.1% (458)
Away
60.0% (483)
44.8% (446)
By Period
Carter
Bennett
P1
61.3%
47.9%
P2
57.1%
47.2%
P3
59.8%
46.4%
OT
57.1%
20.0%
Final 5 min
60.2%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 19:38 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 16:46 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 10:31 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 08:05 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 02:57 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 11:02 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |