Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 26 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 53.2% vs Bennett 47.2% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 28-19 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 67.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 92.2%
Neutral zone
Carter 85.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 83.4%
83.4%
16.6%
Carter
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
19
(47 meetings)
28
19
Carter
Bennett
Last 10: Carter 7-3 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
8
7
Carter
Bennett
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
17
9
Carter
Bennett
26 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Carter
Bennett
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
46.8% (5,683)
+6.5%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
53.7% (555)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
41.8% (256)
+4.5%
On even strength, Carter has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. Bennett is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,262).
Home / Away
Carter
Bennett
Home
54.7% (5,752)
48.4% (3,262)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Carter
Bennett
P1
53.6%
48.0%
P2
52.8%
46.5%
P3
53.1%
46.9%
OT
56.5%
52.5%
Final 5 min
53.2%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2024 | 1 | 13:58 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 2 | 11:33 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 2 | 00:23 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 1 | 16:17 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 19:38 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 16:46 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 10:31 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 08:05 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 02:57 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 11:02 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 18:35 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 03:39 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 18:27 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 18:14 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 18:11 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 14:27 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 09:46 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 09:34 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |