Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.2% vs Kuraly 53.2% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 63.2%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 79.0%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 57.1%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Carter
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Carter
Kuraly
Last 5: Carter 3-2 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Carter
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (935)
54.5% (464)
-4.6%
Power Play
61.8% (157)
0.0% (1)
+61.8%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (92)
50.0% (66)
-3.3%
On power play, Carter has a +61.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Carter is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Carter shoots right. Kuraly is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Carter
Kuraly
Home
52.4% (638)
52.3% (281)
Away
50.0% (546)
55.6% (250)
By Period
Carter
Kuraly
P1
49.6%
56.0%
P2
50.9%
60.8%
P3
53.0%
44.3%
OT
58.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 11:45 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 07:04 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 08:29 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 02:59 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |