Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 63.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Kuraly 48.4% (+14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 64.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 67.8%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 65.3%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Carter
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Carter
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Carter
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Carter
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
49.4% (445)
+16.2%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
100.0% (3)
-31.7%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
41.9% (117)
+8.6%
On power play, Kuraly has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Carter shoots right. Kuraly is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Carter
Kuraly
Home
64.3% (207)
49.2% (248)
Away
60.8% (217)
47.3% (317)
By Period
Carter
Kuraly
P1
65.3%
48.3%
P2
60.1%
44.7%
P3
63.8%
51.7%
Final 5 min
65.3%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 08:04 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 15:10 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 02:28 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 02:06 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |