Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Carter wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Kuraly 49.5% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 81.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 50.2%
Neutral zone
Carter 72.7%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Carter
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Carter
Kuraly
Last 7: Carter 4-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
3
Carter
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
52.3% (982)
+5.6%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
41.9% (43)
+19.8%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
39.2% (245)
+6.2%
On power play, Carter has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Carter shoots right. Kuraly is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (411).
Home / Away
Carter
Kuraly
Home
58.2% (543)
50.3% (680)
Away
55.9% (594)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Carter
Kuraly
P1
57.5%
49.5%
P2
57.1%
49.6%
P3
55.8%
49.0%
OT
68.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
57.0%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 01:22 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 07:37 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 04:23 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 13:32 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 2 | 08:04 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 01:36 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |