Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Seguin 55.4% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 51.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 57.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 52.4%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Carter
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Carter
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
56.5% (712)
+1.4%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
59.7% (67)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
44.9% (49)
+0.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Carter is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Carter shoots right. Seguin is 63.8% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Carter
Seguin
Home
58.2% (543)
58.5% (402)
Away
55.9% (594)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Carter
Seguin
P1
57.5%
58.4%
P2
57.1%
54.7%
P3
55.8%
54.1%
OT
68.2%
72.7%
Final 5 min
57.0%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 07:45 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |