Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Seguin 55.4% (+6.2%)
Offensive zone
Seguin 69.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 56.7%
Neutral zone
Seguin 54.8%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Carter
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
56.9% (478)
+8.7%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
57.4% (54)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
51.3% (76)
-0.8%
On power play, Carter has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Carter is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Carter shoots right. Seguin is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Carter
Seguin
Home
64.3% (207)
57.4% (317)
Away
60.8% (217)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Carter
Seguin
P1
65.3%
50.3%
P2
60.1%
60.4%
P3
63.8%
58.0%
OT
40.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
65.3%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%