Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 60.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 58.5% vs Seguin 54.2% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 62.6%
Defensive zone
Carter 82.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 67.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Carter
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Carter
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Carter
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (727)
55.0% (713)
+4.7%
Power Play
68.1% (72)
56.7% (104)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (139)
47.2% (53)
+6.0%
On power play, Carter has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Carter is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Carter shoots right. Seguin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Carter
Seguin
Home
58.7% (455)
56.2% (443)
Away
60.0% (483)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Carter
Seguin
P1
61.3%
54.2%
P2
57.1%
52.9%
P3
59.8%
57.1%
OT
57.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
60.2%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 14:29 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 13:14 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |