Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 58.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 58.5% vs Gourde 49.7% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 71.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 70.7%
Neutral zone
Carter 51.7%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 71.1%
28.9%
71.1%
Carter
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Carter
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Carter
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (727)
49.1% (847)
+10.6%
Power Play
68.1% (72)
79.5% (44)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
53.2% (139)
39.5% (81)
+13.7%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Carter shoots right. Gourde is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Carter
Gourde
Home
58.7% (455)
50.1% (491)
Away
60.0% (483)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Carter
Gourde
P1
61.3%
54.7%
P2
57.1%
45.0%
P3
59.8%
49.4%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.2%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 10:12 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |