Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Carter wins 63.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs Gourde 48.0% (+14.7%)
Offensive zone
Gourde 57.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 66.3%
Neutral zone
Gourde 50.8%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Carter
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
48.0% (914)
+17.6%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
54.2% (48)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
43.9% (123)
+6.6%
On even strength, Carter has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Carter shoots right. Gourde is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Carter
Gourde
Home
64.3% (207)
50.2% (512)
Away
60.8% (217)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Carter
Gourde
P1
65.3%
50.0%
P2
60.1%
45.3%
P3
63.8%
48.6%
OT
40.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
65.3%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%