Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Skinner wins 59.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 48.0% vs Staal 55.3% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 92.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 89.0%
Neutral zone
Skinner 59.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Skinner
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Skinner
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
1
0
Skinner
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Skinner
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (222)
56.3% (1,115)
-9.5%
Power Play
48.7% (78)
61.2% (67)
-12.5%
On power play, Staal has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Skinner is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (195).
Skinner shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Skinner
Staal
Home
53.8% (169)
58.3% (705)
Away
38.9% (131)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Skinner
Staal
P1
48.1%
54.5%
P2
47.1%
58.2%
P3
46.9%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
47.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2023 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 3 | 11:29 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 2 | 15:33 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |