Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +16.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 45.5% vs Staal 57.6% (-16.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 77.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 92.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 75.4%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Skinner
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Skinner
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
2
0
Skinner
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Skinner
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (105)
58.9% (1,096)
-17.9%
Power Play
50.0% (18)
68.4% (57)
-18.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
51.8% (222)
-51.8%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +51.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Skinner is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (81).
Skinner shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Home / Away
Skinner
Staal
Home
43.8% (64)
57.0% (646)
Away
40.0% (60)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Skinner
Staal
P1
38.6%
55.9%
P2
40.5%
55.4%
P3
47.4%
62.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
41.9%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 02:46 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 04:46 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |