Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Skinner wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 50.3% vs Staal 54.2% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 75.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 70.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 51.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 70.6%
29.4%
70.6%
Skinner
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Skinner
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Skinner
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (33)
57.0% (1,017)
-5.5%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
57.7% (26)
-7.7%
On power play, Staal has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Skinner is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (27).
Skinner shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Home / Away
Skinner
Staal
Home
57.1% (21)
54.3% (667)
Away
45.5% (22)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Skinner
Staal
P1
50.0%
56.2%
P2
57.1%
57.0%
P3
45.5%
49.7%
Final 5 min
62.5%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.2%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 19:31 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |