Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 44.7% vs Staal 55.3% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Skinner 98.3%
Defensive zone
Skinner 71.3%
Neutral zone
Skinner 89.7%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 82.3%
82.3%
17.7%
Skinner
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
13
(18 meetings)
5
13
Skinner
Staal
Last 10: Skinner 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
4
2
Skinner
Staal
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
10
Skinner
Staal
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Skinner
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (1,317)
55.9% (14,620)
-13.6%
Power Play
52.0% (404)
62.7% (1,745)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
48.0% (2,896)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Skinner is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,097).
Skinner shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Home / Away
Skinner
Staal
Home
48.2% (949)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
39.9% (791)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Skinner
Staal
P1
41.6%
55.2%
P2
46.0%
55.9%
P3
46.4%
54.9%
OT
23.5%
56.2%
Final 5 min
46.0%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 19:31 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 02:46 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 04:46 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 3 | 11:29 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 2 | 15:33 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 04:35 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 04:23 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 05:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 00:35 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 19:34 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 16:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |