Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Skinner wins 31.8% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 43.5% vs Dowd 53.3% (-13.1%)
Offensive zone
Skinner 91.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 95.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.8%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Skinner
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
37.5% (152)
55.4% (771)
-17.9%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
57.1% (7)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
45.5% (165)
-45.5%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Skinner is 31.8% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Skinner shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Skinner
Dowd
Home
41.5% (130)
58.2% (462)
Away
39.4% (94)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Skinner
Dowd
P1
32.9%
55.6%
P2
47.1%
50.5%
P3
40.6%
53.9%
Final 5 min
47.5%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
40.6%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%