Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Skinner wins 59.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 48.0% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-8.5%)
Offensive zone
Skinner 87.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 94.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 51.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Skinner
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (222)
56.1% (690)
-9.3%
Power Play
48.7% (78)
64.6% (96)
-15.9%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Skinner is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (195).
Skinner shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Skinner
O'Reilly
Home
53.8% (169)
58.3% (408)
Away
38.9% (131)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Skinner
O'Reilly
P1
48.1%
57.7%
P2
47.1%
54.8%
P3
46.9%
55.2%
OT
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
46.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
47.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%