Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Skinner wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 50.3% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-4.5%)
Offensive zone
Skinner 51.2%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 57.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 56.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Skinner
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (33)
56.2% (983)
-4.7%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
55.5% (254)
-5.5%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Skinner is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (27).
Skinner shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Skinner
O'Reilly
Home
57.1% (21)
56.2% (697)
Away
45.5% (22)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Skinner
O'Reilly
P1
50.0%
54.5%
P2
57.1%
55.5%
P3
45.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
62.5%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%