Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 45.5% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 52.9%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 83.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 76.7%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Skinner
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Skinner
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
1
0
Skinner
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (105)
55.0% (1,084)
-14.0%
Power Play
50.0% (18)
56.8% (303)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
40.3% (149)
-40.3%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +40.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Skinner is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (81).
Skinner shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Skinner
O'Reilly
Home
43.8% (64)
54.8% (759)
Away
40.0% (60)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Skinner
O'Reilly
P1
38.6%
55.3%
P2
40.5%
51.9%
P3
47.4%
54.2%
Final 5 min
33.3%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
41.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 07:23 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |