Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Boqvist wins 27.7% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 38.8% vs Barzal 39.3% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 70.2%
Defensive zone
Boqvist 73.1%
Neutral zone
Barzal 53.9%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Boqvist
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Boqvist
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Boqvist
Barzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boqvist
1
0
Boqvist
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
33.7% (196)
35.0% (283)
-1.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
55.6% (9)
-55.6%
On power play, Barzal has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Boqvist is 27.7% vs right-shot opponents (83).
Boqvist shoots left. Barzal is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Barzal
Home
36.6% (82)
37.0% (138)
Away
30.8% (117)
34.4% (154)
By Period
Boqvist
Barzal
P1
31.1%
29.5%
P2
30.8%
44.5%
P3
38.3%
31.8%
Final 5 min
20.6%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
32.0%▼
39.0%
33.2%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 04:50 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 01:00 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |