Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Boqvist wins 38.5% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 42.2% vs Barzal 41.4% (-6.5%)
Offensive zone
Boqvist 51.9%
Defensive zone
Barzal 63.2%
Neutral zone
Barzal 51.2%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Boqvist
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
35.9% (78)
40.4% (463)
-4.5%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
34.2% (38)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
28.6% (7)
-28.6%
On penalty kill, Barzal has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Boqvist is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (26).
Boqvist shoots left. Barzal is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Barzal
Home
29.8% (57)
38.1% (244)
Away
40.0% (30)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Boqvist
Barzal
P1
46.7%
46.6%
P2
29.4%
35.7%
P3
21.7%
37.7%
Final 5 min
36.0%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
32.0%▼
39.0%
33.3%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%