Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Boqvist wins 33.3% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 42.5% vs Barzal 41.4% (-7.3%)
Offensive zone
Boqvist 50.2%
Defensive zone
Barzal 67.7%
Neutral zone
Barzal 54.9%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Boqvist
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
36.4% (66)
40.4% (456)
-4.0%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
34.2% (38)
-34.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
28.6% (7)
-28.6%
On power play, Barzal has a +34.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Boqvist is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (24).
Boqvist shoots left. Barzal is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Barzal
Home
30.4% (56)
38.0% (242)
Away
38.9% (18)
41.3% (259)
By Period
Boqvist
Barzal
P1
46.4%
46.6%
P2
28.0%
35.4%
P3
19.0%
38.0%
Final 5 min
35.0%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
30.0%▼
39.5%
32.4%
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
39.7%