Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Boqvist wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 41.6% vs Barzal 46.3% (-7.3%)
Offensive zone
Barzal 56.7%
Defensive zone
Boqvist 64.9%
Neutral zone
Barzal 53.2%
Result
Jesper Boqvist favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Boqvist
Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (140)
43.0% (114)
-8.0%
On even strength, Barzal has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Boqvist is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (44).
Boqvist shoots left. Barzal is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (98).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Barzal
Home
37.6% (93)
35.8% (53)
Away
32.0% (50)
49.2% (61)
By Period
Boqvist
Barzal
P1
28.6%
44.2%
P2
34.8%
38.5%
P3
41.0%
46.9%
Final 5 min
41.9%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
32.0%▼
39.0%
35.7%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.0%