Auston Matthews vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 51.7% vs Kotkaniemi 48.2% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Kotkaniemi leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 66.6%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 51.1%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 52.3%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Matthews
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Matthews
Kotkaniemi
Last 10: Matthews 4-6 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
1
Matthews
Kotkaniemi
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
4
5
Matthews
Kotkaniemi
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
3
Matthews
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (795)
46.3% (467)
+5.9%
Power Play
52.5% (40)
55.7% (79)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (32)
100.0% (3)
-56.2%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +56.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Matthews is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Matthews shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (357).
Home / Away
Matthews
Kotkaniemi
Home
53.5% (454)
51.0% (243)
Away
50.1% (413)
45.4% (306)
By Period
Matthews
Kotkaniemi
P1
54.8%
48.8%
P2
52.2%
51.2%
P3
48.1%
42.2%
OT
57.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.1%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
51.9%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 11:38 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 14:39 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| May 6, 2021 | 1 | 04:14 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 10:10 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 10:00 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 15:37 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 13:16 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 18:34 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 13:00 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 1 | 08:35 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 1 | 08:08 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 10, 2021 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 10, 2021 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 2 | 15:03 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |