Connor McMichael vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McMichael on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McMichael wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 44.5% vs Kotkaniemi 50.9% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 81.1%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 74.2%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 83.3%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 80.1%
19.9%
80.1%
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
Last 7: McMichael 5-2 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
0
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
1
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (339)
49.8% (309)
-6.7%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
64.5% (31)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
50.0% (4)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. McMichael is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
McMichael shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (213).
Home / Away
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
Home
42.7% (178)
51.7% (203)
Away
43.1% (167)
50.4% (141)
By Period
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
P1
40.7%
49.5%
P2
50.0%
50.4%
P3
36.9%
53.8%
Final 5 min
43.8%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 14:10 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 03:51 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 07:32 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 05:30 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 05:17 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |