Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kotkaniemi wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Veleno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 50.9% vs Veleno 48.6% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 59.8%
Defensive zone
Veleno 59.0%
Neutral zone
Veleno 55.3%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Kotkaniemi
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kotkaniemi
Veleno
Last 5: Kotkaniemi 2-3 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Veleno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
0
Kotkaniemi
Veleno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
2
Kotkaniemi
Veleno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (309)
49.1% (438)
+0.7%
Power Play
64.5% (31)
37.5% (16)
+27.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
16.7% (6)
+33.3%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (213).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Veleno is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Veleno
Home
51.7% (203)
44.0% (184)
Away
50.4% (141)
51.1% (276)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Veleno
P1
49.5%
50.8%
P2
50.4%
50.4%
P3
53.8%
43.9%
Final 5 min
55.1%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.2%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 10:39 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 10:31 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 06:12 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 11:51 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 12:44 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |