Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.5% vs Veleno 47.4% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 83.7%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 54.3%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 63.2%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Kotkaniemi
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Kotkaniemi
Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
0
Kotkaniemi
Veleno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kotkaniemi
Veleno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (670)
47.1% (420)
+5.7%
Power Play
37.5% (32)
100.0% (1)
-62.5%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
25.0% (8)
-10.7%
On power play, Veleno has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Veleno is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Veleno
Home
52.5% (366)
47.8% (201)
Away
51.0% (343)
46.1% (228)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Veleno
P1
53.8%
48.8%
P2
49.2%
47.9%
P3
52.6%
44.2%
Final 5 min
51.3%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.8%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 05:30 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:59 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 05:05 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 04:56 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |