Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.3% vs Veleno 43.5% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 58.1%
Defensive zone
Veleno 69.3%
Neutral zone
Veleno 68.3%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Kotkaniemi
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kotkaniemi
Veleno
Last 7: Kotkaniemi 2-5 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kotkaniemi
Veleno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
3
Kotkaniemi
Veleno
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kotkaniemi
Veleno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (637)
42.9% (617)
+8.9%
Power Play
48.2% (56)
37.5% (16)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
33.3% (18)
+9.6%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (472).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Veleno is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Veleno
Home
53.1% (339)
40.7% (327)
Away
49.9% (361)
44.4% (324)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Veleno
P1
48.3%
43.2%
P2
55.0%
42.0%
P3
50.4%
42.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.4%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 12:35 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 04:58 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 04:45 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 01:58 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 02:21 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |