Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.3% vs Veleno 49.2% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Kotkaniemi leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 78.8%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 54.1%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 65.2%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Kotkaniemi
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Kotkaniemi
Veleno
Last 10: Kotkaniemi 7-3 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
0
Kotkaniemi
Veleno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
3
2
Kotkaniemi
Veleno
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
3
1
Kotkaniemi
Veleno
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (586)
48.4% (531)
+3.3%
Power Play
48.1% (52)
56.3% (64)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
44.4% (27)
+18.1%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Veleno is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Veleno
Home
49.5% (313)
48.8% (289)
Away
53.5% (333)
49.2% (333)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Veleno
P1
54.5%
46.1%
P2
51.1%
50.9%
P3
49.0%
49.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.5%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 11:29 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 2 | 16:25 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 2 | 09:19 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 2 | 01:53 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 1 | 02:27 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 09:35 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 09:29 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 13:28 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 09:25 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |