Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs John Tavares
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.3% vs Tavares 57.7% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 59.6%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 62.4%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 60.6%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
Last 9: Kotkaniemi 3-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
3
1
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (637)
57.5% (914)
-5.7%
Power Play
48.2% (56)
60.5% (309)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
59.1% (22)
-16.2%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (472).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
Home
53.1% (339)
61.0% (661)
Away
49.9% (361)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
P1
48.3%
58.6%
P2
55.0%
57.8%
P3
50.4%
58.4%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.0%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.4%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 19:12 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 16:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 17:38 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 14:37 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 08:13 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 04:39 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 04:27 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 1 | 15:29 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |