Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs John Tavares
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.3% vs Tavares 58.7% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 58.7%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 61.0%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 60.7%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (586)
59.2% (1,035)
-7.5%
Power Play
48.1% (52)
60.0% (310)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
42.9% (7)
+19.6%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
Home
49.5% (313)
57.5% (668)
Away
53.5% (333)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
P1
54.5%
58.0%
P2
51.1%
60.1%
P3
49.0%
61.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 19:57 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 09:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 05:36 | Defensive | John Tavares |