Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs John Tavares
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 49.2% vs Tavares 54.4% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 34-23 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 78.9%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 67.4%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 77.4%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
34
(57 meetings)
23
34
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
Last 10: Kotkaniemi 2-8 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
12
8
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
14
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
8
12
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (3,852)
54.0% (16,108)
-5.0%
Power Play
51.3% (351)
56.5% (4,283)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (35)
50.6% (620)
-4.9%
On power play, Tavares has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,784).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,505).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
Home
49.7% (2,197)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
48.7% (2,041)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
P1
49.9%
55.0%
P2
50.4%
54.1%
P3
47.2%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
55.9%
Final 5 min
49.6%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 10:31 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 06:21 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 15:49 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 15:36 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:12 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 12:28 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:56 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:42 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 10:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 10:22 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 19:57 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 09:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 05:36 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 19:12 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 3 | 16:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 17:38 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 14:37 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 08:13 | Defensive | John Tavares |