Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs John Tavares
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.5% vs Tavares 57.7% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 53.4%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 52.7%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 51.6%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (670)
57.7% (998)
-4.9%
Power Play
37.5% (32)
60.5% (271)
-23.0%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
56.4% (39)
-42.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +42.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
Home
52.5% (366)
59.7% (610)
Away
51.0% (343)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Tavares
P1
53.8%
57.2%
P2
49.2%
58.5%
P3
52.6%
59.4%
Final 5 min
51.3%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.8%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:42 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 10:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 10:22 | Defensive | John Tavares |