Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Kevin Hayes
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.3% vs Hayes 49.5% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 66.7%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 68.5%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 62.9%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Kotkaniemi
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Kotkaniemi
Hayes
Last 9: Kotkaniemi 6-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
3
2
Kotkaniemi
Hayes
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
3
1
Kotkaniemi
Hayes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (637)
48.5% (557)
+3.3%
Power Play
48.2% (56)
53.3% (107)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
58.3% (12)
-15.4%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (472).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Hayes
Home
53.1% (339)
50.8% (313)
Away
49.9% (361)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Hayes
P1
48.3%
52.3%
P2
55.0%
47.7%
P3
50.4%
48.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.4%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 04:07 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 09:26 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 09:21 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 05:45 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 14:40 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 01:24 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 08:18 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |