Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Kevin Hayes
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 52.1%). Look for Hayes on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.5% vs Hayes 51.7% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 52.1%
Defensive zone
Hayes 50.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 51.0%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Kotkaniemi
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Kotkaniemi
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
3
Kotkaniemi
Hayes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (670)
51.6% (386)
+1.2%
Power Play
37.5% (32)
53.2% (47)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
60.0% (20)
-45.7%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +45.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Hayes
Home
52.5% (366)
50.5% (200)
Away
51.0% (343)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Hayes
P1
53.8%
58.8%
P2
49.2%
49.3%
P3
52.6%
48.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.8%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 01:51 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 16:31 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 16:26 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 16:18 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |