Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Kevin Hayes
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Kotkaniemi wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.6% vs Hayes 42.7% (+12.1%)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 54.9%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 57.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 60.3%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Kotkaniemi
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (207)
31.9% (91)
+15.4%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
64.3% (14)
+35.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
0.0% (1)
+33.3%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Hayes
Home
46.5% (129)
30.6% (49)
Away
50.0% (84)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Hayes
P1
51.3%
22.9%
P2
46.1%
40.0%
P3
45.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
48.2%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%