Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Kevin Hayes
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 49.2% vs Hayes 47.7% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Kotkaniemi leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 70.6%
Defensive zone
Hayes 61.8%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 52.8%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Kotkaniemi
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
Kotkaniemi
Hayes
Last 10: Kotkaniemi 5-5 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
4
2
Kotkaniemi
Hayes
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
3
2
Kotkaniemi
Hayes
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
5
Kotkaniemi
Hayes
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (3,852)
47.5% (6,708)
+1.5%
Power Play
51.3% (351)
51.7% (702)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (35)
45.3% (697)
+0.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,784).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Hayes
Home
49.7% (2,197)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
48.7% (2,041)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Hayes
P1
49.9%
47.5%
P2
50.4%
47.6%
P3
47.2%
47.9%
OT
50.0%
54.1%
Final 5 min
49.6%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 01:51 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 16:31 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 16:26 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 16:18 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 10:08 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 04:07 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 09:26 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 09:21 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 05:45 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 14:40 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 01:24 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 08:18 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 16:50 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 08:14 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |