Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Morgan Frost
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.3% vs Frost 46.2% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 65.5%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 58.1%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 58.0%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Kotkaniemi
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Kotkaniemi
Frost
Last 7: Kotkaniemi 4-3 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Frost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
0
Kotkaniemi
Frost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kotkaniemi
Frost
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (637)
45.6% (833)
+6.2%
Power Play
48.2% (56)
46.0% (100)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
55.6% (18)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (472).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Frost is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (625).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Frost
Home
53.1% (339)
47.0% (440)
Away
49.9% (361)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Frost
P1
48.3%
42.5%
P2
55.0%
47.9%
P3
50.4%
46.6%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.0%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.4%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 19:59 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 11:26 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 04:30 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 14:52 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 00:19 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 01:11 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 05:27 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |