Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Morgan Frost
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 51.2%). Look for Kotkaniemi on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.5% vs Frost 51.1% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 65.1%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 60.9%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 51.9%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Kotkaniemi
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Kotkaniemi
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
1
Kotkaniemi
Frost
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (670)
50.3% (825)
+2.5%
Power Play
37.5% (32)
54.9% (204)
-17.4%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
50.0% (4)
-35.7%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Frost
Home
52.5% (366)
50.7% (489)
Away
51.0% (343)
51.7% (544)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Frost
P1
53.8%
53.6%
P2
49.2%
47.8%
P3
52.6%
52.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.8%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 01:57 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 06:21 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 01:42 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 09:46 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |