Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Morgan Frost
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.3% vs Frost 49.5% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 59.2%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 54.2%
Neutral zone
Frost 50.9%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Kotkaniemi
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kotkaniemi
Frost
Last 6: Kotkaniemi 3-3 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kotkaniemi
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
1
Kotkaniemi
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (586)
48.6% (704)
+3.1%
Power Play
48.1% (52)
55.7% (115)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
25.0% (4)
+37.5%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Frost is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Frost
Home
49.5% (313)
49.9% (399)
Away
53.5% (333)
49.1% (424)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Frost
P1
54.5%
51.2%
P2
51.1%
53.9%
P3
49.0%
42.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.5%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 05:39 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 03:23 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 17:12 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 16:36 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 18:23 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |