Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Morgan Frost
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Kotkaniemi wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.6% vs Frost 55.7% (-8.4%)
Offensive zone
Frost 54.0%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 57.9%
Neutral zone
Frost 53.2%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Kotkaniemi
Frost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (207)
54.9% (701)
-7.6%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
60.8% (166)
+39.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
100.0% (5)
-66.7%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Frost is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Frost
Home
46.5% (129)
56.0% (443)
Away
50.0% (84)
56.6% (429)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Frost
P1
51.3%
58.9%
P2
46.1%
55.3%
P3
45.9%
54.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
56.3%