Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.2% vs Paul 51.7% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 74.2%
Defensive zone
Paul 68.0%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 54.8%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Kotkaniemi
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Kotkaniemi
Paul
Last 10: Kotkaniemi 6-4 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
5
2
Kotkaniemi
Paul
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
3
Kotkaniemi
Paul
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Kotkaniemi
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (467)
56.2% (274)
-9.9%
Power Play
55.7% (79)
52.9% (17)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (3)
43.4% (129)
+56.6%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +56.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (357).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Paul is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Paul
Home
51.0% (243)
52.3% (235)
Away
45.4% (306)
51.9% (185)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Paul
P1
48.8%
53.2%
P2
51.2%
53.8%
P3
42.2%
49.3%
OT
66.7%
55.6%
Final 5 min
49.2%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 09:33 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 02:24 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 14:41 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 2 | 08:55 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 1 | 11:55 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 1 | 03:50 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 2 | 18:42 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 2 | 11:06 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 3 | 18:48 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 3 | 01:45 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 3 | 01:42 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 13:37 | Defensive | Nick Paul |