Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 50.4%). Kotkaniemi wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 50.9% vs Paul 50.4% (+0.8%)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 74.1%
Defensive zone
Paul 71.7%
Neutral zone
Paul 55.4%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Kotkaniemi
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (309)
53.0% (644)
-3.2%
Power Play
64.5% (31)
37.5% (24)
+27.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
42.9% (177)
+7.1%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (213).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Paul
Home
51.7% (203)
52.5% (516)
Away
50.4% (141)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Paul
P1
49.5%
47.6%
P2
50.4%
48.4%
P3
53.8%
54.5%
Final 5 min
55.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.2%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%