Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Kotkaniemi wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 50.9% vs Sturm 52.5% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 74.9%
Defensive zone
Sturm 82.3%
Neutral zone
Sturm 61.5%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
0
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (309)
54.0% (480)
-4.2%
Power Play
64.5% (31)
28.6% (7)
+35.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
50.0% (102)
+0.0%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +35.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (213).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
Home
51.7% (203)
54.0% (287)
Away
50.4% (141)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
P1
49.5%
53.5%
P2
50.4%
51.0%
P3
53.8%
55.1%
Final 5 min
55.1%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.2%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 08:54 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |