Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.5% vs Sturm 57.1% (-7.0%)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 73.3%
Defensive zone
Sturm 68.3%
Neutral zone
Sturm 55.4%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (670)
62.1% (356)
-9.3%
Power Play
37.5% (32)
75.0% (4)
-37.5%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
38.7% (62)
-24.4%
On power play, Sturm has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
Home
52.5% (366)
61.8% (191)
Away
51.0% (343)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
P1
53.8%
58.0%
P2
49.2%
57.9%
P3
52.6%
60.6%
Final 5 min
51.3%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.8%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%