Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Nico Sturm
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 49.2% vs Sturm 56.1% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 16-6 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 94.9%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 72.0%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 85.4%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 81.9%
81.9%
18.1%
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
16
(22 meetings)
6
16
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
Last 10: Kotkaniemi 1-9 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
9
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
4
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (3,852)
57.1% (2,719)
-8.1%
Power Play
51.3% (351)
61.3% (62)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (35)
51.0% (498)
-5.3%
On power play, Sturm has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,784).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,186).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
Home
49.7% (2,197)
57.1% (1,614)
Away
48.7% (2,041)
55.4% (1,665)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
P1
49.9%
56.5%
P2
50.4%
54.9%
P3
47.2%
57.4%
OT
50.0%
60.6%
Final 5 min
49.6%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 00:50 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 15:18 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 06:06 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 05:50 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 00:29 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 1 | 18:43 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 05:43 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 05:28 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 06:55 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 06:50 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 15:52 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 01:28 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 01:24 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 06:03 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 1 | 16:10 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |