Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Kotkaniemi wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.6% vs Sturm 53.6% (-6.7%)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 80.2%
Defensive zone
Sturm 78.6%
Neutral zone
Sturm 53.3%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (207)
54.6% (271)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
54.4% (90)
-21.1%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
Home
46.5% (129)
53.0% (168)
Away
50.0% (84)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
P1
51.3%
58.2%
P2
46.1%
53.2%
P3
45.9%
52.3%
Final 5 min
48.2%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%